Will American Sanctions Bring Iran to Its Knees?

Arabic media review

Will American sanctions bring Iran to its knees? The Arab media debates the U.S.’ decision to impose harsh sanctions on Iran — both pro (Saudia Arabia) and anti (Lebanon). Read what they are saying:

 

Long-Term Effects of America’s Sanctions on Iran — Asharq al-Awsat (Saudi Arabia)

America most likely will not topple the Iranian regime in short-term, but the sanctions will definitely be felt in the long-term. Iran still has the economic partners of China and India. With these partners, Iran will be able to ride the wave of the sanctions in the short-term effect, but in the long term, the forecast is dark.

The Iranian people expected that the nuclear deal and its ensuing freeing of funds would help them economically, but that didn’t happen, and the short-term economic relief provided by Iran’s partnerships with China and India will not be enough to answer local demands.

 

Iran’s New Plan to Confront America: No War and No Negotiations — El-Nashra (Lebanon)

The U.S. has decided that striking Iran economically is a priority. Just like it is doing with Turkey, the U.S. finding that economic war is more effective than military war.

The Supreme Guide of Iran, Ali Khamenei, has put forth a clear picture of how Iran is dealing with the crisis. He has forbidden any Iranian official from negotiating with America saying, “We don’t want a war with America and we don’t want to negotiate with the US. America has proven its lack of credibility in any negotiations, that’s why it is forbidden for any Iranian official to negotiate with anyone on the American side. If we decide to negotiate one day, it definitely won’t be with the current administration and not with the current terms that it has imposed.”

The Iranian government expects that the impact of this economic war will be greater than any other and that it will only get harder. The question is, will Iran succeed in foiling the American plan through cooperation with Turkey, who is suffering the same fate, or will the policy of refusing to negotiate hit a dead end, thus forcing the Iranian leadership to accept the terms of a negotiation.

 

Five Reasons Why Trump’s Siege on Iran Will Fail — El-Nashra (Lebanon)

Will Washington’s siege on Iran be more successful than those of the past or not? Here are five reasons why Iran is in a better position to weather U.S. sanctions than last time they were imposed:

  1. Sanctions being imposed today by America are not the same as those imposed in the past by the UN Security Council
  2. The American decision has no international support, especially not from Western-allied countries
  3. The European Union is currently proposing legislation which will protect European companies who choose to invest in Iran so that they will not be damaged by the sanctions
  4. Countries that surround the Caspian Sea (Russia, Iran, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan) have agreed to share all the enormous wealth of the sea with (oil, gas and caviar) and prevent any other country from reaping its economic benefits
  5. The American decision to impose sanctions on Iran will cause America to become even more isolated internationally. In addition, the sanctions are coming at a time when the Trump administration is in an economic war with the rest of the world

 

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ Leaders May Be Leaving the Country Secretly — Alarabiya (Saudi Arabia)

At a recent panel organized by the Hudson Institute regarding the effectiveness of the U.S.’ “Maximum Pressure” campaign against Iran, experts said that senior leaders of the powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps may split up and leave the country secretly. The leaders of the Guards control a substantial percentage of Iran’s economy.

Reports have already indicated that some senior officials have already resigned and left the country with their money, according to Michael Pregent, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute. However, Pregent said he does not have secondary verification of the reports.

What is known is that due to its economic decline, Iran’s ability to pay its security forces – which it needs to control the growing anti-regime protests –is declining.  The situation will only get worse when more severe sanctions are imposed in November of this year.

One expert specifically suggested that the U.S. impose sanctions against Iranian security forces which have been responsible for cracking down on protests across Iran.

 

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RM
Ran Meir
Ran Meir is Clarion Project's Arab affairs analyst.

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